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NFL Week 3 Preview

It’s a little late, but here’s my Week 3 Preview for the NFL. Without further ado – here we go!

Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints: I’m a big fan of the changes that Wade Phillips has made on the defense. I have stated before that the AFC South goes through Houston. Matt Schaub is playing mediocre football so far, and if he and Andre Johnson can turn it on, I think this team might be able to contend for an AFC Championship. That doesn’t even take into account that Ben Tate is running the football very well and Arian Foster will be coming back soon. If they can figure out how to use those two together, this team is dangerous. That being said, Drew Brees has gotten off to an uncharacteristically fast start and he’s playing really well. I think the difference here will be the running games though, and I don’t think Mark Ingram  is ready to take that step.

Pick : Texans

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles: This game isn’t even hard to predict. The Giants have been decimated by injuries and I can’t foresee them overcoming them. Especially since Michael Vick is playing and seems to be at full strength. The only thing that could turn this game against Philly would be if the Giants defensive line can penetrate and get to Vick early – but the Eagles O-Line has really stepped up amid criticism that they couldn’t protect Vick.

Pick: Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Carolina Panthers: I don’t know if you’ve heard about Cam Newton and the historic rate that he’s putting up passing numbers or not, but he’s pretty good. Jacksonville doesn’t exactly inspire a ton of confidence in pass defense and I think Newton will easily put up at least 300 yards on this defense.  Blaine Gabbert will likely be making his first start, and while the Panthers defense isn’t that good, it’s good enough.

Pick: Panther

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills: If you would have told me in the preseason that the Bills and Patriots would both be 2-0 when they played each other in Week 3, I would have had a hard time believing it. Well, I would have had a hard time believing that the Bills would be 2-0. Ryan Fitzpatrick and the undrafted wonder Fred Jackson have made this team dual threat. I like the Bills to contend for a playoff spot, but Tom Brady has been absolutely phenomenal, and the Bills defense might not be able to hang.

Pick: Patriots

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns: The Dolphins have lost to two good teams (Patriots and Texans). The Browns haven’t been great. Peyton Hillis seems to be weighed down by the Madden Curse (or an injury) and Colt McCoy is still a year or so away from breaking through. So, to make a long post longer – this game will probably be ugly. Chad Henne needs a win if he doesn’t want to get run out of town and McCoy could use one for his confidence…and McCoy will get it.

Pick: Browns

San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals: The 49ers should be 2-0, but they let one slip away against Dallas. The Bengals should be too. I’ve said before that I think Alex Smith will finally prove himself to be a legitimate QB, and I think he’s doing that. I think Andy Dalton has proved that being a winner in college translates well to the NFL. This is a big game for both teams. For the 49ers, because they need to get at least eight wins to guarantee an NFC West crown. For the Bengals, because the confidence would go a long way to getting them back on track.

Pick: 49ers…Bengals….no….49ers.

Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans: Does Matt Hasselbeck still have something left in the tank? Or was Baltimore just hungover from their big win in Pittsburgh? I think it was a combination of the two.  The Broncos are a pretty dysfunctional franchise right now, and while they’re trying to fix it, they haven’t yet. Tennessee will probably come out on top, unless Kyle Orton goes off…and he won’t.

Pick: Tennessee

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings: Matt Stafford hasn’t been sacked yet this season, and as I’ve said before, him staying healthy makes this a team that can contend for the NFC North. If they can keep him upright (they can), they’ll be good. Minnesota hasn’t  unleashed Donovan McNabb and let him prove that he can still play QB. I don’t see that changing anytime soon, and Adrian Peterson can’t win by himself.

Pick: Lions

Baltimore Ravens @ St. Louis Rams: The Rams are a surprising 0-2 and a visit from the angry Ravens is not the medicine this team needs. The Ravens will be back to focusing after a tough loss and should give Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson (if he plays) a lot of trouble.

Pick: Ravens

New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders: Darren McFadden and Jason Campbell aren’t having bad statistical years to this point in the season. That sentence would mean a lot more if it were Week 9, but it’s not. It’s Week 3, and the supporting cast is, at best, mediocre. The Jets, on the other hand, look to have Mark Sanchez playing QB for the first time in his career, Dustin Keller is playing great football at TE. If Shonne Green can get the running game off the ground, watch out. Oh, and their defense is pretty good too. Revis Island, you might have heard of it. A football game? Yes. A close one? Nope.

Pick: Jets

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers: A few key stats that only I may be interested in:

Kansas City is averaging 110.5 passing yards per game (32nd in the league).

Kansas City is averaging 129.5 rushing yards per game…oh wait. Jamaal Charles just went on the IR, so that should change.

Kansas City is allowing 387.5 yards per game…against Buffalo and Detroit.

San Diego is averaging 351 passing yards per game.

San Diego is allowing 219.0 passing yards per game (including that monster they gave up to Brady).

Kansas City doesn’t stand a chance. This season is going to be a long one.

Pick: Chargers

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks: Kevin Kolb has played relatively good football in his bid to prove he could be a starting QB. What’s that? The NFC West is terrible? Oh right. Never mind…moving on.

Pick: Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Atlanta is coming off an electric win against the Eagles in which Matt Ryan may have finally kicked the monkey out of the house it built on his back. (If the Falcons turn into the team a lot of us thought they were gonna be and start to destroy their opponents, the final scoring drive of that game will be remembered as Ryan’s “I TOLD YOU I COULD DO IT!” moment.). The Buccaneers are coming off a win against a mediocre Vikings team that they barely squeaked out. Josh Freeman doesn’t appear to have lost anything. I can’t say the same for the rest of the team, especially LeGarrette Blount, who have seemingly folded under raised expectations. Luckily for the Bucs, after losing this game, they have several winnable games coming up.

Pick: Falcons

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears: Who are the Chicago Bears? They’re 27th in the league in rushing offense per game and 17th in passing.

Who are the Green Bay Packers? They are dead last in the league in pass defense, allowing a staggering 400 yards per game.

This is going to be a shootout between Jay Cutler and Aaron Rodgers. And it should finally prove my point – the Lions will win the North because they are the only team playing good on both sides of the ball.

Pick: Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts: I can’t even go into this. I miss Peyton Manning. I miss the dominance of the Colts. Most of all, I miss a team that legitimately scares Patriot fans into submission. I can’t go on…what? I have one more game? Okay. I’ll go on.

Pick: Steelers

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys: The Dallas Cowboys should be 0-2. They gave away their game against the Jets in Week 1 and somehow squeaked out a win in overtime against the 49ers last week. The Redskins are terri…oh, I’m sorry…this just in. The Redskins are 2-0. They’ve beaten the Giants and Cardinals. They’re 11th in total offensive yards gained and 11th in total yards allowed on defense. No…seriously. They are. Rex Grossman (if I had an editor, he would have to double check this next sentence several times) is playing inspired football and this grizzly group of veterans looks like they could actually string together a few wins. Starting here

Pick: Redskins

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NFL Week 1 Wrap-Up

Here is my wrap-up of all the action in the NFL this week – minus the Monday night games. As I’ve mentioned, Internet is hard to come by, and I wanted to make sure I got this up while I was online!

New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers: Saint 34 – Packers 42

There was no Super Bowl Hangover for the Packers here. They got off to a hot start and the offense of the Saints couldn’t keep up; although, they got close before Clay Matthews stopped rookie Mark Ingram on the goal line as time expired. Both Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers looked great in their first games, throwing for 419 yards and three touchdowns and 312 yards and three touchdowns, respectively. Both teams running games left something to be desired and will need to be more productive as the season wears on. Both teams showed they have what it takes to be competitive this seaons.

Philadelphia Eagles @ St. Louis Rams: Eagles 31 – Rams 13

The Eagles came out relatively flat, with some errant throws from their new $100 million man, Michael Vick. Then Steven Jackson ripped off a 47 yard touchdown run to make it an early 7-0 lead for the home team and made it look as though it was going to be an interesting game – unfortunately for the Rams, he injured his leg on the play. The Rams continued to run the ball well, but with the Eagles new trio of CB, Sam Bradford was unable to complete any long passes.

Vick was relatively effective in the game, but only completed 48% of his passes – his lowest number as an Eagle. LeSean McCoy looked great out of the backfield, and DeSean Jackson made a good case for his new contract. As an Eagles fan, I would like to see Vick get Jeremy Maclin and Brent Celek more involved in the passing game. Overall, the Eagles appeared dominant in their opener, but they need to clean up a few aspects of their game – namely the run defense.

Atlanta Falcons @ Chicago Bears: Falcons 12 – Bears 30

Raise your hand if you had the Bears winning this game? No? I didn’t think so. Matt Ryan threw the ball well, although he couldn’t find the end zone. It didn’t matter – the Bears had everything working (I’m looking at you Brian Urlacher, Julius Peppers, Jay Cutler, and Matt Forte) and looked like a team that could compete with the Packers for the NFC North title. If they can keep this up, I wouldn’t be surprised if they did just that.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns: Bengals 27 – Browns 17

Cincy can’t seem to catch a break in the QB department. Andy Dalton was injured during the game, and somehow, the Bengals beat the lowly Browns in the opener. Cedric Benson may have had something to do with that, running for 121 yards on 25 carries for a TD. The Browns were disorganized under their new regime, and should get things cleaned up for next week – if they do, they should be optimistic about Colt McCoy’s 213 yard, two TD day.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs: Bills 41 – Chiefs 7

This just goes to show that no one knows what their talking about in the preseason. I, among many others, believed the Bills would be in the running for the top draft choice this season – if this game was any indication, we were wrong. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 208 yards and four TD and Fred Jackson added 112 yards on 20 carries. Fitzpatrick’s day might be attributed to Eric Berry injuring his knee in the first quarter – but I don’t think it would have made a difference. The Bills didn’t do a whole lot right and nothing went right for the Chiefs. As Chiefs defensive tackle Kelly Gregg put it, “When things started going bad, they just went bad. Landslide.”

Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Lions 27 – Buccaneers 20

The Lions came into this season with lofty expectations after building up their defensive line and finally having a healthy Matthew Stafford, who threw for 305 yards and three TD.  The surprising story line of this game was the non-existent run game of the Bucs – Josh Freeman led all rushers with 26 yards. If the Bucs have hopes to repeat their 10-6 season and have a shot at a playoff spot, this is not the way to go about it.

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Titans 14 – Jaguars 16

After their stunning release of David Garrard, I didn’t think the Jaguars had a chance to beat anyone – even the Titans. I was surprised. Maurice Jones-Drew looked good in his debut after knee surgery and the Jaguars defense kept them in the game and eventually, helped them win it. ButI’ve said it a million times before – this is a QB-driven league, and while Luke McCown managed the game well, he only threw for 175 yards and no TD. I don’t expect it to be good enough over a 17 week season. You don’t get to play the Titans 16 times.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens: Steelers 7 – Ravens 35

Yeah – I wrote that the Ravens probably won’t be as good this season and that the Steelers should beat them – handily. Well, I’ve been wrong before and it’s the beauty of writing about this game. The Ravens defense looked inspired, forcing seven turnovers. Joe Flacco looks like he might be ready to take the next step, throwing for 224 yards and three touchdowns, and nothing went wrong for the Ravens. It was a big game, but only one in a long season.

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans: Colts 7 – Texans 34

The Colts without Peyton Manning look lost. They couldn’t get anything going. That wasn’t the most worrisome part of the game though. It was that backup running back Ben Tate was able to rush for 116 yards. The Colts have never been known for their defense, but if they play like this the rest of the way, it won’t matter when Manning comes back.

Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals: Panthers 21 – Cardinals 28

Patrick Peterson made up for some sloppy play at CB and returned a punt 89 yards for the go-ahead score. Frankly, who cares. For those out there who said Cam Newton wouldn’t be a successful NFL QB, take a look at this stat line  – 422 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT. He’s the only QB to throw for more than 400 yards in his rookie debut. Kevin Kolb also made some noise in his debut, throwing for more than 300 yards, along with an impressive day from Beanie Wells. Both of these teams have bright futures.

Minnesota Vikings @ San Diego Chargers: Vikings 17 – Chargers 24

I was going to try to recap this game – and rather than write a paragraph that you don’t want to read, I’ll say this. The Chargers escaped late, narrowly escaping an inevitable slow start again and the Vikings couldn’t get anything going.

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers: Seahawks 17 – 49ers 33

I once wrote that I though Alex Smith still stood a chance at being a good NFL QB. Looks like I wasn’t completely wrong. He got some help from Ted Ginn Jr., who ran a kickoff and punt back for a touchdown within a one minute span. Jim Harbaugh got another win over Pete Carrol and looks like he has the 49ers on the right track in a weak NFC West.

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins: Giants 14 – Redskins 28

Rex Grossman outdueled Eli Manning. No, seriously. The Giants are short-handed because of the injuries that plagued them during the preseason and just got beat by the Redskins – who had four sacks after finishing 31st in the NFL in that category last season. I don’t expect that Grossman will continue to look this good when he faces a healthy secondary, but for at least one week, he’s got a win.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets: Cowboys 24 – Jets 27

I, unfortunately, did not get an opportunity to watch this game, but I watched the highlights. I’m not sure if the Jets underperformed for most of the game or if the Cowboys over performed for it most of it. I think the truly better team came out on top here. That being said, if the Cowboys and Jets can fix their little problems (I’m looking at you Jason Witten, Cowboys Specials Teams, and you Shonne Greene), these teams could be legitimate contenders in their respective conferences.

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NFL Power Rankings – Week 1

I will be posting NFL Power Rankings on a weekly basis. The jury is a one-man vote, and here are my thoughts. The records for Week 1 will be the record the team finished with in 2010.

Rank (LW)

Team

Record

Comment

1

 

Green Bay Packers

10-6

The defending Super Bowl Champs have to start at one. They didn’t do anything this offseason to make them fall.

2

Pittsburgh Steelers

12-4

A loss to the Packers in the Super Bowl was tough, their defense is aging, and Ben Roethlisberger could have it best season. For now, number two.

3

New England Patriots

14-2

Believed by some to be AFCs best team. Their defense will have to prove it against the pass.

4

New Orleans Saints

11-5

I like Drew Brees to have a great bounce-back season after looking dull last year. It starts at Lambeau Field in Week 1.

5

Philadelphia Eagles

10-6

The Eagles will start a new offensive line and they must keep Michael Vick healthy in order to have a huge season.

6

Atlanta Falcons

13-3

A great regular season last year that flopped because of the lack of…well, Julio Jones. I like the Falcons to make some noise.

7

San Diego Chargers

9-7

I think that Phillip Rivers could throw for 5,000 yards with his WR back and healthy. No slow start this season.

8

New York Jets

11-5

If Plaxico Burress works out, this might be a tough team to beat en route to its third straight AFC Title Game.

9

Baltimore Ravens

12-4

A tough first game against Pittsburgh should tell me where to rank this team next week.

10

Indianapolis Colts

10-6

Peyton Manning will miss week 1 – how many more after that?

11

Houston Texans

6-10

I think Matt Schaub is underrated. I think this defense will make strides with Wade Phillips at the helm. Will it be enough in the South?

12

Dallas Cowboys

6-10

A healthy Tony Romo and the addition of Rob Ryan to the defense could make Dallas much scarier than the 12th best team.

13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10-6

The new expectations may be too much to ask them to repeat last season’s performance. This team is built to win for the long term.

14

Chicago Bears

11-5

I have no idea how good Jay Cutler is. This team could bounce around the Power Rankings for the first few weeks.

15

Detroit Lions

6-10

A D-line built to stop the run and get to the passer should take some pressure off of Matt Stafford, if he can stay healthy.

16

St. Louis Rams

7-9

The West sucks. If the Rams did enough to help Sam Bradford on offense and if Steven Jackson can stay healthy, they might be good enough to win it.

17

New York Giants

10-6

The Giants missed on a lot of big name players this offseason and I don’t foresee a repeat of 10-6 in a strong NFC East.

18

Kansas City Chiefs

10-6

We’ve seen it about a million times – breakout season followed by a down year.

19

Minnesota Vikings

6-10

Same problem here as with the Bears – which Donovan McNabb did the Vikings get?

20

Arizona Cardinals

5-11

Same problem a third time – how good is Kevin Kolb?

21

Tennessee Titans

6-10

Matt Hasselback is getting old and he won’t have enough help to make this a memorable season in Tennessee.

22

Cleveland Browns

5-11

Colt McCoy should have another great season in a West Coast Offense that he’s become comfortable in, but he doesn’t have enough help yet.

23

Washington Redskins

6-10

By the end of the season, the ‘Skins might be praying to win the Andrew Luck contest.

24

Miami Dolphins

7-9

Chad Henne is under a ton of pressure to perform well early. He better hope he can.

25

Oakland Raiders

8-8

New coach, new scheme, same Al Davis.

26

Denver Broncos

4-12

I like Kyle Orton and John Elway running their respective shows. I’m not convinced the rest of the organization is in line.

27

San Francisco 49ers

6-10

Alex Smith has been in the league for seven years now. Are they really still letting him start?

28

Seattle Seahawks

7-9

Tarvaris Jackson? I’ll take whoever the Seahawks are playing for my picks, until he proves me wrong.

29

Buffalo Bills

4-12

They lost Lee Evans and don’t have much more help on offense. This could get ugly quick.

30

Carolina Panthers

2-14

I’m excited for Cam Newton in the NFL. He’ll need more help in the next few years, but I think he’s going to be great.

31

Jacksonville Jaguars

8-8

Who releases their best QB five days before the opener? Jacksonville.

32

Cincinnati Bengals

4-12

Is there a bigger mess in football right now outside of Cincy?

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NFL Week 1 Preview

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers: The Saints and Packers are both looking for a Super Bowl run this season. Drew Brees organized and funded workouts during the lockout, the addition of Mark Ingram should solidify the run game. Aaron Rodgers is one of the best QBs in the league and has Ryan Grant and Jermichael Finley healthy. Both offenses should be potent this season, but whether both teams can get off to a quick start will be the difference. I like Brees’ offseason workouts and I think it will make the difference here with New Orleans winning.

Atlanta Falcons at Chicago Bears: The Falcons addition of Julio Jones should give Matt Ryan the tools he needs to take the next step; should spread the field for Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez while opening up running lanes for Michael Turner. The Bears appear, to me, to be a team in transition. The defense should be good, but not as great as in recent years, and I don’t think they’ll be good enough to win the NFC North or this game.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: Does anyone care about the winner of this game? I know I don’t. I want to watch Andy Dalton and A.J. Green and see if they can use their natural talent to mesh together quickly. I want to see if Colt McCoy can continue to grow in Cleveland’s West Coast scheme. Neither of these teams will make a lot of noise this season, but the talent on these teams is very possibly the future of the NFL. Stay tuned.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs were a surprise 10-6 team last season, winning the AFC West. Too bad for them, Matt Cassel is probably going to miss the first week with a rib injury. Fortunately for them, the first game is against the Bills and Tyler Palko should be good enough to beat the Bills. For the Bills, it’s the first loss in a journey to landing Andrew Luck next April.

Philadelphia Eagles at St. Louis Rams: As an Eagles fan, you can expect this prediction to be a little bias. Before I get bias, I’ll say this, Sam Bradford is a great QB and should do great things this year. I’ve seen a lot of people saying they expect the Eagles to implode under the pressure. I don’t see it happening, and I expect DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, and Michael Vick to not miss a step. Eagles should win a close game here, but they’ll still win.

Detroit Lions at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Lions have the best defensive line in the league, which should take away the run game from most teams. The Buccaneers were 10-6 last season and missed the playoffs. I don’t expect them to have as good a record this season, and I expect Josh Freeman to take a step back this season with added pressure to perform. Who’s going to win the game? I have no idea – but in the long run, no one will care either.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: The Matt Hasselback era starts in Tennessee. Too bad for him, he isn’t exactly playing on the most talented team in the league. David Garrard looks to be the starter for the Jaguars right now, and reports from around the league look different about the Jaguars. If Garrard and Maurice Jones-Drew can perform well, they might have a chance at a Peyton Manning-less AFC South to start the season.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: I love a good rivalry. The Steelers and Ravens always play a rough, low-scoring, physical game. The Ravens promise to unleash Joe Flacco this season and allow him to use his big arm to go downfield more often. With the addition of Lee Evans, I can imagine that will be fun to watch. I expect the same type of physical game here. I don’t know who wins this game, because it’s always too close to call.

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson are perhaps the best combination in the league. Schaub could throw for 5,000 yards this season if the rest of the receivers can step up their game. Manning won’t be playing in this game according to reports out of Indy and they’ll have to rely on Kerry Collins to run an offense that he’s had about two weeks to learn. If this game was being playing in Indy, I might think the Colts would have a better chance, but it’s being played in Houston and the Texans should get an early jump on their first playoff run.

New York Giants at Washington Redskins: Can Eli Manning turn off his turnovers? Do the Giants have receivers that are good enough to compete. What? They’re playing the Redskins this week? Oh, then they’ll win this game easily. Moving on.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: Tarvaris Jackson is the starter for the Seahawks. They’ve added a few other pieces, but they’re still not a very good team. So how about the 49ers? They have a new coach, new system, and the same old Alex Smith playing QB. The NFC West is a crapshoot…again.

Minnesota Vikings at San Diego Chargers: The Donovan McNabb era starts in Minnesota. As I mentioned in my preseason QB rankings, I think McNabb has a lot to prove. He’s back in an offense more suited for his talents, and I think he’ll do well in Minnesota. Too bad for him, his first real game is against the Chargers. I like the Chargers to avoid a slow start and get a win in the first week this season.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals: Two new QB eras start in this game – Kevin Kolb and Cam Newton both look to get their first wins in their new towns. The Panthers and Cardinals both have decent running games that should take the pressure of these two guys. I expect this will be a quick game because of all that running we’re going to see. I also expect the Cardinals to get an early win because I don’t know anyone who wouldn’t want to throw to Larry Fitzgerald.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets: Tony Romo is back and healthy. The Cowboys defense is poised for a great season under Rob Ryan. The Jets added Plaxico Burress to help Mark Sanchez develop into more than a game manger under center. This should be a fun game with the Ryan brothers facing off and two very talented teams looking for an early statement win…which the Jets will get in an emotional 9/11 remembrance game.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: Tom Brady, Chad Ochocinco, Wes Welker, BenJarvus Green-Ellis are talented position players who should give the Patriots a shot at being a very potent offense again. That defense isn’t half bad, either. Chad Henne is in a weird position in Miami. He feels unwanted there, but he can silence all his critics with some early connections to Brandon Marshall and some early magic with Reggie Bush. Oh, my prediction…that’s not going to happen right now. New England should win this game easily.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos: Is anyone outside of Oakland and Denver going to watch this game? I’m not. The Broncos aren’t very good. The Raiders will stay bad as long as the corpse of Al Davis is running the team. This should look a lot like a bad college football game. There are no winners.

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